Ashi Anand: Market Overreaction to Tech Selloff and the Role of AI in IT Services
Market Outlook: India IT and Jewellery Sectors
**Indian IT services** are navigating a transformative period as of February 2026. While recent sessions saw volatile price action, major players like **TCS** and **Wipro** have shown resilience, posting gains of **1.74%** and **2.12%** respectively during high-volume trading.
Market sentiment is shifting from "AI as a threat" to "AI as a margin driver." Industry data suggests that while AI-driven automation may cause revenue deflation due to reduced manpower requirements, **net profitability** remains protected.
Strategic investments are accelerating. The **Union Budget 2026** recently sanctioned **$232 million** (₹2,000 crore) to boost AI infrastructure. This support coincides with a structural shift toward "asset-led" service models, where pre-built AI agents handle complex tasks.
Sector Financials and Projections
* The Indian IT industry is on track to reach **$350 billion** by the end of 2026.
* IT spending within India is projected to hit **$176.3 billion** this year, fueled by data center expansion.
* Mid-tier companies are showing agility, often outperforming large-cap peers in growth percentages.
Valuations for leading blue-chip stocks have become increasingly attractive following recent corrections. Analysts highlight that the current entry points offer long-term value as enterprise AI adoption moves from experimental phases to production-scale implementation.
Jewellery Sector Momentum
The **Indian jewellery market** is entering a high-growth phase, with revenue expected to hit **$105.9 billion** in 2026. Demand remains robust despite elevated gold prices, as consumers prioritize value-added and branded products.
A significant trend this year is the rise of **lab-grown diamonds (LGDs)**. These are being positioned as "smart luxury," appealing to younger demographics. This shift is turning diamond jewellery into an everyday staple rather than just occasional wear.
Consumer Trends and Policy Impact
* The **Union Budget 2026** maintains a customs duty of **20%** on imported jewellery, supporting domestic manufacturing.
* **Old gold exchanges** now account for nearly **45%** of transactions, providing a liquidity cushion for the market.
* **Lightweight "Neo-Heritage"** gold designs are seeing high demand for daily use.
Organized retail chains are expanding rapidly into Tier-II and Tier-III cities, where rising disposable income is driving a **5.7% CAGR** in regional demand. South India continues to lead the nation, accounting for over **32%** of total gold consumption.
Efficiency gains from 3D design and digital try-on technologies are helping retailers maintain margins between **11% and 11.5%**, even as metal prices fluctuate. Physical silver investment is also gaining traction, with a projected **20%** increase in bar and coin demand.