Asia Markets: Equities Steady as Weak Japan GDP Weighs on Yen
Market performance across Asia remains mixed as investors digest a cooling US inflation report that has recalibrated expectations for global interest rates.
US consumer prices moderated to 2.4% in January, a decrease from 2.7% in the previous month. This represents the lowest inflation level since 2021 and has fueled a cautious debate over potential Federal Reserve rate cuts. While some analysts see room for a move in March, the broader market consensus has shifted toward a more definitive cut in July 2026.
Japan's Nikkei 225 has experienced significant volatility following a historic rally. After hitting record highs above 57,000 last week—driven by a decisive political victory for the Liberal Democratic Party—the index closed Friday at 56,941.97, a decline of 1.21%. The Japanese Yen remains sensitive to intervention risks, currently trading near 156.5 against the US Dollar.
Australian equities tracked lower at the end of the week, with the S&P/ASX 200 dropping 1.39% to finish at 8,917.60. Despite this daily dip, the index gained 2.40% over the full week. Sector performance was led by a 9.38% surge in Utilities and a 5.41% rise in Financials, while Healthcare and Technology faced steep sell-offs of 12.61% and 5.37%, respectively.
Regional liquidity is tightening as several major markets enter the Lunar New Year holiday cycle. Mainland China is closed for the full week starting February 15, with South Korea, Hong Kong, and Singapore observing shortened trading hours or closures through February 19. This coincides with a market holiday in the United States, where exchanges are closed today, February 16, for Presidents’ Day.
Commodities and digital assets are showing renewed movement amid the shifting rate outlook. Gold has rebounded to approximately 5,077 USD per ounce, while Bitcoin is stabilizing near the 68,800 USD mark after recent fluctuations. Oil prices remain steady, with Brent Crude holding near 69.33 USD as traders monitor global supply dynamics and geopolitical developments.
The focus for the coming sessions shifts to critical employment and inflation data releases from Japan and Australia, which will provide further clarity on whether regional central banks will follow the Federal Reserve’s anticipated pivot toward easing.