Hindalco Shares Volatile Following 45% Year-over-Year Decline in Q3 Net Profit
Hindalco Industries has demonstrated significant operational resilience, reporting a 60% year-on-year surge in consolidated net profit to 3,735 crore for the December quarter. This performance sharply contrasts with previous downturns and was driven by record-breaking results in its domestic Indian business.
Consolidated revenue for the period rose to 58,390 crore, reflecting a steady 11% expansion. The company’s Indian aluminum upstream segment achieved an all-time high EBITDA of 4,222 crore, a 73% increase supported by lower input costs and industry-leading margins of 42%.
The copper business also provided a strong anchor, with EBITDA growing 18% to 777 crore. Domestic sales remained robust as the company secured the Copper Mark-JDDS accreditation for sustainable production, marking a first for any Indian firm in the sector.
Novelis, Hindalco’s U.S.-based subsidiary, faced a more complex quarter. Its revenue grew 4% to 4.1 billion USD, but adjusted EBITDA fell 19% to 367 million USD. Operations were hampered by two fires at the Oswego, New York plant in late 2025, which caused a 72-kilotonne reduction in shipments.
Restoration at the Oswego hot mill is progressing, with a restart now projected for late Q2 2026. Despite these short-term capacity constraints, Novelis received a 750 million USD equity contribution in December to bolster liquidity, which stood at 2.6 billion USD at year-end.
In the markets, Hindalco’s stock is trading near 965 INR as of mid-February 2026, showing a year-to-date gain of approximately 9%. The stock recently hit a 52-week high of 1,029.80 INR, supported by a healthy net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 1.33x.
Global aluminum prices have shown volatility but remain at elevated levels compared to 2024. LME cash settlement prices currently hover around 3,098 USD per tonne. While base metals saw a slight correction from January peaks, tight inventories and supply caps in China continue to support the long-term pricing floor.
Future growth remains focused on aggressive domestic expansion. Hindalco is moving forward with a 21,000 crore smelter expansion and a 4,500 crore project in Odisha. These initiatives, combined with high demand from the solar and electric vehicle sectors, position the company to leverage the ongoing shift toward clean energy infrastructure.