Nifty Eyes 25,350 Support Amid IT Selloff as HDFC Bank and NTPC Show Buy Signals
Indian Market Brief | February 16, 2026
Indian equity benchmarks are navigating a period of heightened volatility as the **Nifty 50** struggles to maintain its footing above key psychological levels. After a sharp 1.30% decline on February 13, the index is currently testing immediate support in the **25,450–25,400** range.
The broader market sentiment remains cautious, with the **India VIX** hovering near **13.44**, reflecting moderate but persistent anxiety among traders. Technical indicators show the Nifty trading below its short-term exponential moving averages, signaling a temporary pause in the long-term uptrend.
Sector Dynamics
The technology sector is under significant duress. The **Nifty IT** index has faced a multi-session sell-off, dropping nearly 8.2% in a single week. This decline is largely attributed to investor concerns over generative AI disruptions and a massive **₹50,000 crore** reduction in mutual fund holdings across top-tier IT stocks.
In contrast, the banking and public sectors continue to act as market anchors. The **Nifty PSU Bank** index has outperformed the broader market, delivering returns of approximately 7.8% so far this year. Resilience in this space is supported by strong quarterly earnings and expectations of steady credit growth.
Key Stock Highlights
**HDFC Bank** remains a focal point for analysts as it shows signs of recovery, recently trading around **₹927**. Market participants are closely watching the **1,005** call option strike for the February expiry as a gauge for near-term bullish sentiment.
**NTPC** continues its upward trajectory with a year-to-date return of **10.7%**. The stock recently touched a spot price of **₹369**, benefiting from increased power demand and a strategic focus on the renewable energy transition.
Institutional Activity
Flows remain divergent. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have been net sellers in February, offloading equities worth **₹1,374 crore** as of mid-month. This pressure is being counterbalanced by Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs), who have infused over **₹9,775 crore** this month, driven by robust SIP inflows.
Critical Levels
For a sustained recovery, the Nifty must decisively reclaim the **25,700–25,800** resistance zone. Failure to hold the **25,400** support could accelerate a correction toward the 200-day EMA near **25,250**, which serves as the primary structural floor.