Prabhudas Lilladher Forecasts Nifty Reaching 28,000 by February 2027 Following Current Consolidation
Indian equity markets are navigating a strategic consolidation phase, with the Nifty 50 currently trading near the **25,450 – 25,550** range. Despite recent volatility and a modest **1.1%** dip in the previous session led by IT sector weakness, the underlying structural drivers remain robust.
Domestic brokerage Prabhudas Lilladher maintains a bullish 12-month base-case target of **27,958** for the Nifty 50. This projection represents a potential upside of approximately **10%** from current levels. In a more optimistic bull-case scenario, the index is seen reaching **30,497**, implying a nearly **20%** climb.
The outlook is underpinned by several critical growth catalysts:
**Economic Resilience**
India’s real GDP is projected to grow by **6.9%** in 2026. This momentum is supported by a historic breakthrough in trade diplomacy, including the India-EU Free Trade Agreement and a revised US trade framework. The reduction in reciprocal tariffs from **25%** to **18%** is expected to add **20 basis points** to annual growth, benefiting sectors like textiles, gems, and auto components.
**Earnings and Valuations**
Corporate performance continues to show strength. Revenue for covered companies grew **9.9%** year-on-year, while profits rose by **16.7%**. Although near-term EPS growth is estimated at a measured **3.8%**, a strong medium-term trajectory with a **16.3% CAGR** is expected through 2028. The Nifty currently trades at **19.1x** one-year forward earnings, aligning with long-term historical averages.
**Policy and Demand**
Strong fiscal discipline, with a deficit target of **4.4%** for FY26, and recent household tax breaks are fueling domestic consumption. Private consumption is forecast to increase to **7.7%** this year. Additionally, a steady **9.1%** projected salary increase across India Inc. suggests sustained purchasing power.
**Market Sentiment**
Institutional support remains a vital shock absorber. While the IT index faced a **2.07%** weekly decline due to global tech uncertainty, sectors such as Banking and FMCG recorded gains of **1.64%** and **1.71%** respectively.
The current market behavior is viewed as a "reset rather than a reversal." This period of range-bound trading is likely paving the way for a multi-year compounding cycle, supported by landmark trade deals, infrastructure spending, and resilient corporate balance sheets.